#Polling

Nate Silver

NateSilver538

You could probably convince me that the race has tightened by half a point. On the other hand, there had been a bit of a state poll vs. national poll

Carlos Osweda

COsweda

THREADGood news, early Biden voters!In the following states, you can change your early vote to @realDonaldTrump.THIS IS FACT, @Twitter. No need to check it.https://www.foxnews.com/politics/states-voters-resubmit-absentee-ballots Arkansas -

Greg Sargent

ThePlumLineGS

1) Some extraordinary polls came out today.CNN finds 58% of Americans say Trump's response to protests has been "more harmful."Ipsos finds 59% say Biden would do better at reducing violence.This

Ashton Pittman

ashtonpittman

NEW: Local Mississippi election officials have changed the polling locations for 5,000 Mississippians from where they were during the spring primaries, the secretary of state announced.Our map shows where to

Ariel Edwards-Levy

aedwardslevy

The tough thing about writing cohesively about election polling in this cycle is that any piece needs to push back simultaneously against incorrect assumptions in a bunch of different directions.

Ryan Grim

ryangrim

Lots of polling shows that Democrats are less likely to vote if they believe Trump is just going to steal the election. Trump's people have no doubt seen that polling

Rossalyn Warren

RossalynWarren

v short thread: it's really great to see a huge surge of young people registering to vote. but this doesn't automatically translate into voters on the day, and not everyone

(((Harry Enten)))

ForecasterEnten

Biden's getting beat by Trump in media mentions by a ~9:1 margin over last month, & Biden's winning. (Clinton was getting beat 2:1 at this point.) Lesson from 2020 so

Tim – ForecastAverage.com

OtherSideReflec

1/ One thing I don't ask myself enough: How does Trump win?Let's leave aside ways he could cheat. They're quite possible, but too unpredictable to contemplate here.Every state where he's

Connor Van Ligten

Connor_VL

This is an important thread for journalistic reasons. It's important to realize that polling data and methodology this year is very different from polling in 2016, so to say that

asparagus🧡

adobobuswell

for my non-american moots, heres how the election works- im a poll worker for the county of los angeles so it will be different in every state/county but this is

Alexander Agadjanian

A_agadjanian

Analyses of 2020 polling error often find that error was largest in the most Republican states, but it may not be too informative. The problem is that polling avg's in

Minneapolis Elections & Voter Services

VoteMpls

In some states, poll watching is legal. Poll watching is NOT legal in MN. MN state election law allows a “challenger” – whose only action can be to contest the

Ryan Mac🙃

RMac18

Facebook is running surveys asking users if posts on Election day about protestors, violence at polling stations, or COVID-19 spreading at polling stations, would make them more or less likely

Jessica Price

Delafina777

covid's still going to be around in Nov, as per last retweet, and this is a really great time to get your state to institute vote by mail:-vote from the

Random But Consistent

RandomEcon

1/ Unpopular opinion: white America will *likely* win VP.There's a lot of nonsense in the article. Very much on-brand for the source, but one thing that's accurate is polling in