Ariel Edwards-Levy, Discover and Read the Best of Twitter Threads by @aedwardslevy

Ariel Edwards-Levy

aedwardslevy

i see we've reached the "could the polls be wrong and the sugar cookies be right" stage of punditry Especially frustrating that the news side of the Times already published

I realize this is beating a dead horse, but...SSRS, CNN's pollster, also conducts some of their polling online (their post-debate poll was phone, but includes call-backs of voters originally reached

The tough thing about writing cohesively about election polling in this cycle is that any piece needs to push back simultaneously against incorrect assumptions in a bunch of different directions.

Please indulge me as I take a minute today to complain about poll questions that ask people whether they'd be more or less likely to vote for a candidate if

i beg of you please to stop rewriting the plums in the icebox poem to be about feral hogslearn another poem in my yard, the 30-50 feral hogs come and

Because this is a good use of time on Saturday night, I want to just pull out this 2016 post-mortem from the pollsters' professional org (full disclosure, I'm a member),

are we seriously doing this againhttps://www.huffpost.com/entry/face-masks-poll-partisan-culture-war_n_5ec584fcc5b642a7d150e103 By contrast: These sentiments won't necessarily translate into behavior: you can think wearing a mask is res

We've got a new set of HuffPost/YouGov polling on masks. If this was supposed to be the new front in a culture war...someone apparently forgot to tell most of the

"how many potatoes are there?""in a few words, how would you describe the potatoes?"quantitater vs. qualitater research using MRP, which here stands for Mr. Potato-Head, I will american association of

There’s a new silent majority in America: the millions of people who have remained quietly withdrawn from public life in an effort to stem the nation’s coronavirus outbreak. New HuffPost/YouGov

i want to graph, i want to laughget dataminr'ed for a chart of goldIt's this y-axis, clearly a gaffethat keeps me searchin' for a chart of goldand 𝘁𝗵𝗶𝘀 𝘁𝗲𝘅𝘁 𝗶𝘀

Again, Candidate Who Led In The Polls For Most Of The Primary Cycle Wins Primary Obviously, this isn't always the case, and I continue to think it's important to stress