The tough thing about writing cohesively about election polling in this cycle is that any piece needs to push back simultaneously against incorrect assumptions in a bunch of different directions.
Have to emphasize at the same time:
A) Polls aren& #39;t irreparably broken
B) Polls aren& #39;t precision instruments

A) It& #39;s not probable Trump will win
B) It& #39;s not unthinkable Trump will win

A) Race has remained very polarized/stable
B) Small movements could have big consequence
A) Non-response and other sampling issues are a real concern for pollsters
B) "Shy Trump voters" probably aren& #39;t

A) Methodology matters for polls& #39; credibility
B) There& #39;s not one silver-bullet gold standard method that& #39;s guaranteed to get it right, or even reliably outperform
A) Horserace numbers aren& #39;t the only political polling that matters
B) Horserace numbers aren& #39;t the only political polling that matters

(...wait)
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