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(((Harry Enten)))

ForecasterEnten

.@ChrisCuomo Didn't let me return the favor on-air. A lot of you who tuned in this week for the first time this week might not realize how kind he has

So what do we know? We knew coming out of the conventions that Biden had a 7 or 8 point national lead... We knew that the difference between the polls

This is a simple chart plotting the distribution of Clinton's margin in the September national polls in 2016 (blue) and Biden's in 2020 (red). What should stand out here is

Biden was involved in a single one-on-one debate during the primary... By the polls, he won that debate... He debated many times overall. And while some of those debates were

My Mom has zero clue what Twitter is, but I'll tell you a little about her... After her 1st marriage, she was in her 30s... She went back home to

Biden's getting beat by Trump in media mentions by a ~9:1 margin over last month, & Biden's winning. (Clinton was getting beat 2:1 at this point.) Lesson from 2020 so

Very unusual nugget for the CNN poll this morning... Trump's net approval with voters (-9) is lower than with all adults (-7). Only second time that's ever happened & that

Joe Biden has done it. Biden won the nomination.. after losing the first three primaries. He did it basically being broke going into Super Tuesday. He did it with some