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Nate Silver
NateSilver538
The media narrative was **extremely terrible** for Biden when he came back to win South Carolina by 30 points after having been tied in the polls days earlier.https://twitter.com/whstancil/status/1246940465976360960 That SC
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Democrats will have plenty of time to cast blame on Trump's coronavirus response later, and it seems very likely that they'll cast lots of it given that it's an election
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Another issue with charts drawn on a log scale is that they literally compress what has been happening *recently* when the stakes are very high (10s of thousands) while placing
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This suggests that the US is now somewhat above the median in COVID-19 case detection. Our testing is better than much of Europe, and we're picking up a higher share
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Feels like it's very fashionable (at least on this platform) to say "see, all this in-person interaction was unnecessary and in certain ways dangerous and the new equilibrium will shift
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Found this helpful.Sets expectations for a long stay-at-home period (through early June) but clearly explains the benefits of that.* You don't just flatten the curve but can really reduce the
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I hate this line of thinking (AnYtHiNg CaN HaPpEn NoW BeCaUsE TrUmP! 2016! 2020!)https://twitter.com/julianzelizer/status/1245729822694875136 Here's how Andrew Cuomo could be nominated. Joe Biden drops out. That *could* happen. He could
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This is great news. I don't know exactly which hospitals are most in need, but my understanding is NYC and Seattle hospitals are in acute danger. If you're a hospital
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