#Polling

Financial Times

FinancialTimes

Since Joe Biden's lead in national polls remained stable throughout the summer, why have betting markets now moved dramatically towards Donald Trump and voters are still sceptical of a victory

Dave Wasserman

Redistrict

Just in: final FL voter reg. data. Since this March's primary, here are each party's net gains:GOP: +344,465Dem: +197,821NPA/Other: +197,818Compare to the same period in '16:GOP: +274,207Dem: +307,961NPA/Other: +220,857Trump'

Dario ⛩️

DarioRahim

"Ok Dario, I see Biden is up +10 points in National polling. But the polls were WRONG in 2016, how can you trust them now?"Here's a useful thread to debunk

Tomi T Ahonen Standing With Ukraine

tomiahonen

Thread on Banking Votes 1/By today 54.2 million early votes have been cast. Let's do a quick bit of math, on 'banking votes' early. Don't worry, I will do all

Cameron Kroetsch

CameronKroetsch

Some folks on #HamOnt Twitter have been asking how it's possible that some of our Councillors continue to get reelected. There's no one reason, but as someone who has run,

Nate Silver

NateSilver538

If there hadn't been a (not actually all that large!) polling error in 2016, you can imagine the conventional wisdom being *incredibly* certain right now that Trump was going to

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paleo_liberal

I don't casually dismiss the polls that consistently show Donald Trump is behind. But I am convinced he is going to win, for many reasons. Thread 1/ First, it is

Bethany Hallam

bethanyhallam

After today’s Board of Elections meeting, I wanted to provide you all with some answers to the questions you have presented to me regarding the mail-in voting process and Election

Selim Bradley

SelimSeesYou

I disagree slightly with this take.He should have done it earlier (May 2019) if he was going to do it tho.https://twitter.com/ryangirdusky/status/1253663002630467584 Not to mention: rally around the flag is a

Brandon

Brand_Allen

1/ For district poll watchers: updated list of Biden/Trump House polling, by date https://1drv.ms/x/s!AsGkEg1X1g9wtHzSS8vlcT0_tJZ5?e=TgteqjAn alphabetical list of district polling, w/ multiple polls from single districts averaged https://1d

Damian Lyons Lowe

DamianSurvation

Some notes on our Hartlepool polling and a new phenomenon, *Brexit Party* Amnesia - a feature, not a bug. We interviewed 500+ Hartlepool residents last week & as can be

Sahil Saklany

SSaklany

H 11: 1st ELECTION OF FREE INDIA (1951-52)In March 1950, Sukumar Sen was appointed chief election commissioner.Sen was educated at Presidency College & at London University,where he was awarded gold

simon maginn

simonmaginn

Dear Centrists,I am in receipt of your urgent demands for ‘unity’. ‘We *must* come together!’ you cry. ‘All this infighting is only helping the Tories!’Just some thoughts about that. 1

Matt Blair

mjblair

Four of these five men currently lead the four provinces with the highest COVID-19 case rates. The fifth stepped down as the leader of his party and was replaced by

𝔠𝔲𝔫𝔱

marspheus

2020 VOTING GUIDE :A thread of very important tips and precautions to help save as many votes as possible during this election, whether you're voting by mail or in person.

Josh Jordan

NumbersMuncher

Quick thread with 4 reasons why 2020 is not 2016.in 2016, Trump briefly led Clinton twice in the final five monts and trailed by just 3.2 going into Election Day.In