#Polling

🕷Dante Atkins🕷

DanteAtkins

There's a narrative out there that after South Carolina, Dem donors and leaders forced consolidation of the race and unification behind Biden, depriving voters of a competitive primary to deny

Michael Donnelly

donnellymjd

I just dug into the @QuinnipiacPoll to understand how one highly-rated pollster changed its Likely Voter model from 2016 to 2020 in Pennsylvania.The results are pretty interesting...(Caveat: Polling nerds only.

Angelux

Angelux1111

A Dark and Stormy PresidencyA threaded taleIt’s 4 days after the election and most of our votes have been cast and tallied. I rest uneasy, unsure about mine.This is my

Nate Cohn

Nate_Cohn

There are plenty of places where the polls have been 'wrong' in recent cycles.One place where they have not been wrong, in either 2016 or 2018, is Texas. Now, there's

John Hayward

Doc_0

If Trump wins despite oceans of polls giving Biden big leads, Big Tech putting every thumb it has on the scales for Biden, and legacy media smothering stories that hurt

JöeLah

Joe_Lah_

Please read and comment if you have a minute... In a large crowd there are many different actors: peaceful protestors, violent protestors, agitators, looters, vandals, etc. I don't always know

Live Monitor

amlivemon

US STIMULUS & ELECTION US Stimulus Update Firstly, bear in mind, Presidential EOs are the back stop, especially for UI and PPP. However, as our very own @Halsrethink states, Pelosi’s rejection of

Erin Keane

eekshecried

Appreciate the national attention on Louisville's vote. I think it's important to note that condensing in-person voting to (very large) fairgrounds was done in conjunction with daily messaging on expanded

Tom Pride

ThomasPride

A couple of serious points about the #YouGov MRP poll showing a Tory majority.Yes, YouGov was founded by a Tory but I don't believe its biased because of that. I'm

Jane

PapermoonDeux

What the heck is going on in the #KentuckyPrimary: a thread. Because there is a LOT of misinformation being repeated on twitter tonight. And from ppl that I respect and

Melissa Quinn Amour

MelissaAmour72

I’m a lifelong Catholic who believes strongly in the separation of church and state. From what I have read, Amy Coney Barrett is a more radical type of Catholic than

Lindsay Brown

Lidsville

I tend to dislike demographic analyses of politics as they are too often depoliticized (ie overfocus on "millennials" not class &c). But the gender gap in the US election is

Mike Bird

Birdyword

When I tweet about UK Covid-19 policies I often get responses about enforcement and people not abiding by the rules, which I think is missing the point a bit -

Steve Sayers 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿in🇬🇧=👍🏼 #Scexit👎🏼

SteveSayersOne

7/9/20 Polling update. Don’t forget headline results of +50% LeaveUK (or thereabouts) EXCLUDE undecideds. Many polls now only use a subset of respondents & soft questions. SNP internal target is

G. Elliott Morris

gelliottmorris

I've gotten a lot of questions about our model's projection in Arizona today (probably because of the NYT poll). People think it should be bluer. Maybe! Our model has it

Greg Sargent

ThePlumLineGS

House-district polling is telling a grim story for Trump. I spoke to @Redistrict about all the private data he's seeing."Trump is underperforming 2016 margins by 8 to 10 points in