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Lyman Stone 石來民 🦬🦬🦬
lymanstoneky
THIS IS FALSEhttps://twitter.com/Noahpinion/status/1266255161338376194 Here's the raw reported Florida P&I mortality by week back to 2012-13 from CDC.The tweets circulating come from people comparing to monthly data downloaded from
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Someone explain Brazil to me. Excess deaths *fell* early in the epidemic, and no metric of any policy or social distancing behaviors predicts the peak in excess deaths now occurring.
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Something I want to understand:The George Floyd death is horrible and obviously demands a response.And.... as I understand it, four officers have been fired and the police have *invited* the
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I think there's a deeper issue.I suspect the Han Chinese birth rate is considerably lower than the government is letting on, and has been for a while.I know this sounds
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One thing I don't think enough people understand is that by the time the public was aware of the COVID epidemic on any real scale, ***it had already peaked***. Here's
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Beijing’s overtly dictatorial approach drops the veil. There’s no dispute about what’s happening.They are inviting the world to react, and they are betting the world will blink.We must not blink.
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The UN estimates, and no serious researcher disputes, that China fails to report nearly ***49%*** of its total deaths in a *normal* year.Florida meanwhile has among the strongest sunshine/data transparency
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Time for an update on COVID data! US test count and positive rate continues to fall.That's great news!However, some news reports claim this may be because states are reporting serology
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Today @tylercowen has a nice wrong article on centralized quarantine where he (wrongly) states the only recent quarantine program has been in Cuba and (wrongly) states CQ requires family separation
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1) Americans will never consent to temperature checks and quarantining international arrivals???2) said without endorsement: if we get a second wave, the political possibilities will expand dramatically.https://twitter.com/blueboxdave/status/12595641
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New #NBERday paper out today making the argument I've made, if a bit less aggressively:Quite weak evidence that state policies actually lead to much social distancing. https://www.nber.org/papers/w27027 Curiously, they find
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Alright alright alright folks we've got some COVID data!Testing scale jumped WAY up over the weekend, while the positive rate continued to fall, which is great news! The CFR also
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