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Lyman Stone 石來民 🦬🦬🦬
lymanstoneky
Let the record show that while I am opposed to lockdowns, I'm also opposed to the haste with which states are trying to act like everything is fine and dandyhttps://twitter.com/Motoconomist/status/1253632387268988928
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Social distancing in America began March 8-13. Earliest that could reduce deaths is Mar 26-31, so Mar 20-25 is a baseline for deaths before social distancing.Since then, deaths in states
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Deaths in Santa Clara county, CA are running at 20% above last year: which is TWICE the mortality gap you'd expect from officially confirmed COVID deaths. WE NEED FASTER ALL-CAUSE
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I'm at @PublicDiscourse today writing up my take on why I don't think lockdowns work. I use data from 13 regions around the world, as well as all US county
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We've got another day of COVID data! Tests down, positive rate up. Death rate continues its inexorable rise, up to 6.2% now. The pace of curve flattening seems to be
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Happy Monday on Hong Kong time everybody! Hope you had a nice Quasimodo Geniti. Ours was splendid. We had a (very modestly sized due to rgulations) BBQ at a friend's
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A brief reminder that all-cause excess mortality data from EuroMoMo continues to show that Sweden does *not* have very much excess mortality yet, and that the Netherlands has about the
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One of the best correlations with local-area COVID spread is.... HOUSEHOLD SIZE.Which is really bad considering the strategy has been to quarantine households together at home.Turns out, that strategy may
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Two more days of COVID data woooooAnd what it shows is that your nice pretty epidemic charts are Mega Super Dumb. Here's our basic US chart: Tests up, positive cases
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Cutting off funding to WHO is good. Tedros should resign, Taiwan be given some kind of status, and China formally and officially blamed for COVID. Until these occur, the US
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(We should absolutely end lockdowns since they have no empirically demonstrated efficacy versus other alternative policies like centralized quarantining and universal mask requirements)https://twitter.com/graykimbrough/status/1250089695566090241 The
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My hot take on Singapore vs. Hong Kong COVID responses is that in Hong Kong we cancelled school and we wear masks whereas in Singapore mask-wearing did not become de
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