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#Estimates
The Washington Post
washingtonpost
A leading model used by the White House to chart the pandemic predicted that the U.S. may need fewer hospital beds and ventilators than previously projected and states may reach
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Dianah Walter
Dianah_SA
About 70,000 #MedicinalCannabis prescriptions have been issued by Australian doctors over the past 4 years. But @healthgovau officials have told @AuSenate #Estimates the true number could be much higher -
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Dan Rosenheck
DanRosenheck
Data on visits to doctors for "influenza-like illness" imply covid-19 has spread 200x faster than official US data show. Counterintuitively, if true, this would be good news. New in @TheEconomist
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Clarity
covid_clarity
The new MN covid model now estimates 29K deaths.Dr. Osterholm on Monday: “We're probably in MN, somewhere around the 5% infection level"If true, the max total deaths in MN would
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Andy Seaton
ASeatonSpatial
Today I'm trying to do a mini lit review on communicating uncertainty in maps of species distributions. It's astounding how many papers don't bother to do this at all. Can't
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Marcello Puca
MarcelloPuca
The Italian National Statistical Institute just released an update on 2020 mortality rate (up to March 28). Focusing on #Lombardia, updated estimates (with @sergallet and Paolo Buonanno) show that official
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Thomas Longden
ThomasLongden3
Cost of green hydrogen could be at or below A$3/kg in the near future. H2 at $2/kg is likely to come into reach. Cost of electricity from solar PV and
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Jacob Steinhardt
JacobSteinhardt
Good to see this analysis, but misleading headline. 24 states have *point estimates* over 1, but uncertainty in estimates is large. Let's consider null hypothesis that Rt=0.95 everywhere. Then would
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Peter Ellis
ellis2013nz
I've been thinking hard about test positivity rates and how they impact on difficulty of estimating incidence and prevalence when there aren't random samples from the population. Blog post with
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Aaron Astor
AstorAaron
The "models were wrong!" complaint is silly. Without widespread testing early on, we had no choice but to do a national shutdown just to get down to 60k deaths. That
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Glenn Ray
GlennLRay
In five days (September 20), the number of deaths in the US due to COVID-19 will exceed 201,157. Why is this significant? (1/9) As of today (September 15), the number
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ProfTalmadge
ProfTalmadge
A few quick thoughts in response to this good question. Because of New START, US & Russia mutually monitor the size, status, composition of each other's strategic forces. China knows
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Michael J. Hicks
HicksCBER
1/n Some more back of the envelope thinking about the state's response to COVID-19, and how it has wider applicability. Let me preface by saying this is the sort of
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Markus Namekian Lee
SpikeBoyQ
Another corona virus thread, this one might not be as cheery as my last one, so strap in: I took the total numbers from today, as well as some other
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George Francis
GFrancis420
National IQ and the Wealth of Nations in chartNIQ and (log) GDP capita from the Maddison project shows a strong relationship over 200 years!Here are some of my comments on
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Zeke Hausfather
hausfath
Carbon cycle feedbacks are a large – but under-appreciated – source of uncertainty the future climate. Including these uncertainties could result in up to 25% more warming than in the main IPCC
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