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Aaron Astor

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I've been wrestling with this question for a while now: How much does it really matter at this point if so many adults choose not to vaccinate? I look at

Here is what I think should happen re: covid in the US on June 1. Everybody will have had a chance to be vaccinated by then. So:1) Lift all remaining

Five days before Election Day in 2016, HRC's national lead dropped to 3.0 in 538. (It was 1.3 in RCP). Today it's 8.9 in 538 (and 7.7 in RCP). The

The genius of America's Constitutional framers is in their disagreement with one another. The compromises they produced were occasionally horrific - e.g. 3/5 clause - and at other times sublime.

Since we're having this strange argument about "democracy" v. "republic" again, let me put in a case for the term "Constitutional democracy" to describe our system of government. Constitutional means

What I love about maps like these is how much the social history of a state like Mississippi is influenced by soil differences that most people today barely recognize. Sure,

For over a year Trump supporters have convinced themselves that Trump is going to win in a landslide and all the polls are wrong. Many of them still believe it.

Yes. But there's something else to consider. Some parts of Appalachian PA used to be Dem - esp. coal mining and steel mill union towns. But much of Appalachian PA

I agree with this. The most aggressive cancer on the American body politic is not and will not be the Supreme Court, which is largely reactive by nature. It's the

Every election since 2004 I've obsessively watched poll numbers, often checking several times a day in the months before the election. And my mood usually follows the latest polls until

While Trump yammers on about HRC again, let's look at the race in 2016 v. today. It's 51 days to the election. Sept 18 was 51 days from the 2016

Drove through rural August County, VA yesterday and saw lots of Trump signs there. But then remembered that their votes will count as little as my Biden vote in Tennessee