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Nate Cohn
Nate_Cohn
The DNC, to my mind, had one clear and simple task: do everything you can to increase Biden's favorability rating, and make more people feel *good* about Biden. The RNC's
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Unbelievably, the Battleground poll--sponsored by Georgetown University and conducted by two fairly well known partisan pollsters--is not weighted by education and comes in at ... 63 percent with a college
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Thanks to the news this week, I spent some time over the last few days grappling with a question that many, many people have thought about before me: 'what's a
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Trump's lead among white voters has all but vanished. Anything like it threatens longstanding GOP structural advantages https://www.nytimes.com/2020/07/24/upshot/biden-polls-demographics.html It's not easy to imagine the consequence
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Biden still rolling with a 13 point lead in Pennsylvania, 53-40, among RVs in new Monmouth poll.https://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/reports/monmouthpoll_pa_071520/ Biden leads by 10 or 7 points in high or low turnout LV
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With the conclusion of the primaries in Texas last night, I want to flag a tier of districts that haven't gotten a ton of attention from the race raters (perhaps
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Biden emerges from a contested Democratic primary with no serious threat on his left flank, according to Times/Siena polling in the battlegrounds.Sanders supporters back him 87-4Warren supporters back him 96-0https://www.nytimes.com/2020/07
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Taking the live interview polls this month, we've got CNN at Biden+5 (v. long term avg Biden+9), Monmouth at Biden+9 (long term +3.5), and Marquette in WI at Biden+3 (long
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This is the exactly the sort of reason why it's so hard to figure out what the national political environment is going to look like in Novemberhttps://twitter.com/davidmwessel/status/1253734063153840128?s=20 This would be
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After four years, the 2020 polls pick up almost exactly where they left off in 2016.Here's how the race has changed, or hasn'thttps://www.nytimes.com/2020/04/22/upshot/polls-biden-trump-election.html?action=click&module=News&pgtype=Ho
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Biden starts the general election with a lead in national polls, but it's closer than it looks. The polls show the electorate split along the same demographic lines as 2016,
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Let's revisit the comparison between the United States and continental Western Europe, where the death toll reached 51k yesterday So far, the US continues to track very closely alongside death
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