Biden leads by 10 or 7 points in high or low turnout LV models (should note that we didn't find an LV/RV gap, and there can be some noise here, esp at this fairly small sample size)
Not that you should judge polls this way, but surely the poll unskewers will be disappointed to learn that this sample is even by Party ID and Trump+5 on recalled vote
And no, that doesn't mean you can unskew the poll to be better for Biden, either! Our poll was D+3 PID and Trump+1 recalled vote, yet it was worse for Biden. Both surveys were weighted by party registration, which reduces the effect of weighting on another partisan measure
And since the Monmouth poll is probably the most comparable poll out there to the NYT/Siena poll, here's how they stack up under the hood
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