With the conclusion of the primaries in Texas last night, I want to flag a tier of districts that haven& #39;t gotten a ton of attention from the race raters (perhaps for good reason, I haven& #39;t been following the candidates) but seem ripe in this environment: TX3, 6, 10, 25

All of these races were single digits in the House last time, despite no serious contest.
All were Cruz+5 or less (TX10 was a Beto win).
TX3, last I looked, has the highest college graduate percentage of any GOP held district remaining in the land

These districts don& #39;t strike me as very different from an MO02 and IN05, if you factor in the uncertain D upside of rapid demographic change.
TX is changing but these districts are transforming. What& #39;s going to happen with high turnout and registration in a competitive race?

As a result, I have no real doubts about whether Biden *could* win a district like TX03, which was Trump+14 last time. That& #39;s not to say he will. But I don& #39;t see how that& #39;s even controversial at this point, and if so it would pbly mean no better than a low single digit House race

Missed these changes! I& #39;d guess @Redistrict won& #39;t be too far behind https://twitter.com/kkondik/status/1283362035544338432?s=20">https://twitter.com/kkondik/s...