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Adventures in Financial Independence
adventuresinfi
Some reflections on investing for just under 3 years.1. Start early. I'm 40 & wish I started doing this earlier.2. Understand yourself & your volatility tolerance3. Just as there is
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Simon DeDeo
SimonDeDeo
Attaching probabilities to beliefs may be a useful tool in Bayesian statistics, but is it meaningful? Consider 538: as their models push above 90% for Biden, they are reaching new
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Moe IS GROWING very rare!!
Mini__Moe
GUYS I found a technique to provoke spontaneous lucid dreams that actually works!! But it requires practice! Though is quite simple: You have to create a habit IN REAL LIFE.
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Peter Tomasi
petertomasi1
1/ You can do very good contact tracing, get good information and connect the dots if you do it in a standardised way with the same software nationwide.https://twitter.com/shaunscapades/status/1290245493956608002 2/ CT
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Eliezer Yudkowsky
ESYudkowsky
hasnobody else noticedthat the mainstream medialiterally assigned themselvesthe role of calling US electionsbecauseI don't think that's how the system should worknot saying they called it wrongjustnot how the system should
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Lafargue
Lafargue
It does, but it probably doesn't need them to make bold, contrarian, under-evidenced, extremely high risk public health policy interventions on the basis of untested modelling methods, in the middle
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Sridhar Ramesh
RadishHarmers
Proof that the reals are uncountable. Consider a probability distribution on naturals where each natural has positive probability. We know there are lots of such distributions; pick your favorite.(This probabilistic
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masked byker
bykerseven
Unless one assumes that 100% of all 330 million Americans are violent criminals—which you might if you're a North Korean dictator, or an English monarch—the only thing this table shows
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Raj Mehta, MD
raj_mehta
1/ Thread on evaluating benefits vs harms of masks for infectious diseases & #covid19. orWhy i think the claim that masks have equal probability of causing harm & benefit is
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pogitsu.ph🌟
pogitsuph
1-Week-Time-Frame of #BTC since the drop last March, it's now respecting (at least twice) the EMA21..you might wanna consider or wait for it, those who are (patiently) waiting for
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Rewilding Science
RewildingS
1/16 Rewilding can involve species reintroductions or translocations to restore ecological processes and ecosystem function. At the centre of achieving this is the successful re-establishment of the interactions species once
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Katherine Crocker PhD supports #BLM
cricketcrocker
I'd just like to remind people that any condition primarily diagnosed using a heuristic that's not so much flawed as just totally irrelevant...is probably not worth calling science.If the units
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10-K Diver
10kdiver
1/Get a cup of coffee.In this thread, I'll help you understand the basics of probability distributions and random variables. 2/Imagine that you run an insurance company.Every year, you write a
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Loïc Berger
Loic__Berger
Happy to share that our new paper with M. Marinacci on #uncertainty and #climatechange has just been published @SpringerNaturehttps://rdcu.be/b7snR Uncertainty is of particular importance when considering decisions with global, long-l
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Anders Sandberg
anderssandberg
New paper out by Andrew E. Snyder-Beattie, me, Eric Drexler and @mbbonsall about how the timing of evolutionary transitions on Earth suggests intelligent life is rare: https://www.liebertpub.com/doi/full/10.1089/ast.2019.2149 There is life
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Andrew Heiss
andrewheiss
Phew—my weekend project is complete! Check out this guide on everything you ever wanted to know about (zero|one|zero-one)-inflated regression! Use #rstats and brms to correctly model proportion data + learn
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