Toggle navigation
TWText.com
TWText.com
faq
Contact US
Follow US
#Probabilities
Shadow of St. David
KingofShirgar
My controversial view is that the dissolution of the USA would be the best outcome of the election. Hear me out. Thread. 1. The Davos World Order replete with
Read more
10-K Diver
10kdiver
1/Get a cup of coffee.In this thread, I'll walk you through tail risks and their dangers. 2/Imagine that you've just started an insurance company -- XYZ Corp.XYZ is based in
Read more
Rich MacLehose
RMaclehose
Pains me to say it, but @ProfMattFox made a good point yesterday about the difference between ID methods and non-ID methods. I was thinking about that on my dog walk
Read more
Route 2 FI
Route2FI
8 things to think about in crypto to improve your probability of making money/THREAD 1. Crypto is a game of probabilities, but most people treat it as gambling. Let’s do
Read more
10-K Diver
10kdiver
1/Get a cup of coffee.In this thread, I'll help you understand Markov Chains.In life, and in investing, we often come across situations where luck/chance plays a major role.And Markov Chains
Read more
Jens Nordvig
jnordvig
I do forecasting, not epidemiology. But what do you do when all forecasting relies on epidemiology? Well, you have to get on with it.SOME OBSERVATIONS: t-cells may be relevant to
Read more
G. Elliott Morris
gelliottmorris
I see we're talking about how people interpret election forecasts and whether they influence turnout again today, so let me just offer a few thoughts. All of this being primarily
Read more
Wobble
wob_ble
A 2016 @ElmPartners experiment provides what I think to be a powerful reminder that active investors should perhaps spend less time looking for investment opportunities and more time stressing over
Read more
Hugh Lewis
ProfHughLewis
It is possible to estimate re-entry risk even if no detailed spacecraft/rocket stage breakup analysis is available. E.g., one may assume that any surviving fragments are dispersed in a rectangular
Read more
Janelle Shane
JanelleCShane
When an AI is trained on words, weird things can happen to the physical domain.I asked the @OpenAI API about horses.https://aiweirdness.com/post/621186154843324416/all-your-questions-answered Even when the API answered correctly, it often a
Read more
Dr Ellie Murray
EpiEllie
THINK LIKE AN EPIDEMIOLOGIST: evaluating the President’s treatment regimen./ I’ve had lots of requests to speak about the medical treatments Trump is receiving, what it means that he’s getting them,
Read more
Spencer Greenberg 🔍
SpencrGreenberg
Ten Skills of Civilization to mature at if we hope to create an amazing world instead of a dumpster fire:1. Evidence evaluation: converging on a valid consensus about what’s true
Read more
Rohit Katwal
rohit_katwal
Part 3: Thread on #OptionBasics for #Nifty #BankNifty or #Stocks for beginnersIn Part 2 we understood how to determine what IV is high and when to buy and sell options.
Read more
😷Caitlin’s still wearing a mask Urquhart
caitmurquhart
IMO we need to completely rethink how our legal system deals with #sexualassault. What we’re doing now is NOT WORKING. Not for victims, not for alleged perpetrators. It does not
Read more
Puff the Magic Hater
MsKellyMHayes
The war with Dominion on DS9 is the best storytelling arc in the entire Star Trek franchise. I'm not watching it right now or anything. I just have this thought
Read more
Arvind Ravikumar
arvindpawan1
Machine Learning/Climate Action AlertOne of my PhD students, Lyra (@Lyra_Wang) proposed an idea to use machine learning to significantly reduce the cost of #methane emissions mitigation. I didn't think it
Read more
‹
1
2
...
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
...
16
17
›