#Polls

P. Sainath

PSainath_org

1/5. Some 713 schoolteachers have died after compulsory duty as officials in UP’s panchayat polls where all protections and distancing protocols were absent. Their unions’ appeals for postponement of the

Nate Silver

NateSilver538

While one should always be alert to the possibility of systematic polling errors in either direction, this (alleging that polls are biased by 5-6 points against Trump because of shy

Greg C (Bernie 2020)

greg06897

Holy shit! The economist just changed their aggregate so that 50% of the polls are Economist polls and another 30% are CNN and Quinnipiac to put Pete ahead of Bernie.

Nate Silver

NateSilver538

Quick thread. Warning: not super exciting.1. In the course of our reporting on Trafalgar Group—part of the due diligence we often do while entering polls—we've learned that some of their

Nathan J Robinson

NathanJRobinson

Ok this is pretty huge: the NYT says that if polls are as wrong as they were in 2016, Trump will win. This means we should actually assume Biden is

Jamison Foser

jamisonfoser

1)Trump has never had a net positive approval rating for a single day of his presidency so I don’t know what this guy thinks “popularity” means. 2) there are actual

Edgar Reed

ReedForecasts

People compare 2020 to 2016 polls but miss the big picture. Here's 2016 vs. 2020 polling avg in key states.PAClinton 46.3%, Trump 42.4%Biden 49.6%, Trump 44.9%MIClinton 44.5%, Trump 40.4%Biden 49.7%,

shaun kitchener

ShaunKitchener

this week's popstar poll tournament is on the SPICE GIRLS!so far these things have raised ~£800 for various charities. now, we raise for @aktcharity; working with young LGBTQ+ ppl with

unseen1

unseen1_unseen

Good liars often tell the truth at the the correct time, when it can be checked and confirmed. By doing this, all of their past lies are not seen as

Jeff Ballabon

ballabon

BattleGround '20 is releasing the following predictions based on proprietary technology which successfully has predicted major political events around the world, including the 2016 US election, but works privately with

Nate Silver

NateSilver538

I think there are basically 3 groups of polls that herd.1) Some (certainly not most or all) online or IVR polls with crappy raw data seem to look to live-caller

Gibbo

DavethePitt

Polling... a thread. We join polling company websites like You Gov, create a profile, answer lots of questions presented to us. Therefore the polling companies can build up a detailed

FloridaDude297

FloridaDude297

Political neophytes are missing the big movement. Independent Voters have entered into the political arena at an alarming rate and are turning out 3 times as much as previous elections.

shaun kitchener

ShaunKitchener

It's Week 6 of the POPSTAR SONG TOURNAMENTS and so far over £1000 has been raised between 5 amazing charities during the COVID-19 crisis!Now, we're raising for @alzheimerssoc!And we turn

Martin J Gilbert

Mad_iguana

US Election post:Win probability today: Biden 83%; Trump 17%Nat'l vote projection today: B 54%; T 45% (B+9)Win prob 2016 (Polls+, 18 days before): Clinton 84%; T 16%Nat'l votes t-18 2016:

Dave Wasserman

Redistrict

New Marist/PBS & NBC/WSJ polls bring us to a critical mass of October live-interview national polls, and to me Biden's gains appear to be pretty even across the board (except