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BattleGround '20 is releasing the following predictions based on proprietary technology which successfully has predicted major political events around the world, including the 2016 US election, but works privately with non-partisan, apolitical clients globally.
The following predictions are based on data we believe to be accurate, despite their marked disagreement with almost all popular polls. These predictions are a small glimpse.
Unlike traditional political polling, our data source provides a steady stream of information, updated in real-time, from all 50 states.
BG20 Battleground State Prediction:
MI is statistically tied but trending Trump (RCP avg: Biden +8.2)
MI is statistically tied but trending Trump (RCP avg: Biden +8.2)
BG20 Battleground State Prediction:
MN is statistically tied but trending Trump (RCP avg: Biden +4.7)
MN is statistically tied but trending Trump (RCP avg: Biden +4.7)
BG20 Battleground State Prediction:
NM is statistically tied but trending Trump (Most recent polls: PPP - Biden +14; Albuquerque Journal - Biden +15)
NM is statistically tied but trending Trump (Most recent polls: PPP - Biden +14; Albuquerque Journal - Biden +15)
BG20 National Demographic Prediction:
Trump is on track to at least double his 2016 share of the Black Vote. This has remained stable throughout the Campaign.
Trump is on track to at least double his 2016 share of the Black Vote. This has remained stable throughout the Campaign.
BG20 National Demographic Prediction:
Trump’s share of the Hispanic Vote currently stands at 44% and continues steadily to rise. This represents a substantial leap from 2016’s 28%. Trump is on track to equal or exceed George W. Bush’s 2004 performance.
Trump’s share of the Hispanic Vote currently stands at 44% and continues steadily to rise. This represents a substantial leap from 2016’s 28%. Trump is on track to equal or exceed George W. Bush’s 2004 performance.
BG20 Popular Vote Prediction:
Yesterday, six days before the election, CNN reported that Biden leads Trump by 12 points in the national popular vote. We can predict the vote will be far closer; indeed, we confidently predict it to be far closer than the RCP avg 7.7 points.
Yesterday, six days before the election, CNN reported that Biden leads Trump by 12 points in the national popular vote. We can predict the vote will be far closer; indeed, we confidently predict it to be far closer than the RCP avg 7.7 points.
BG20 Paradigm Shift Prediction:
WA is statistically tied (Most recent poll: SurveyUSA - Biden +21)
WA is statistically tied (Most recent poll: SurveyUSA - Biden +21)
More to come.
We explain the gap between popular polls and our research in our recent Newsweek article entitled "Why so many polls favor Biden”. https://www.newsweek.com/why-so-many-polls-favor-biden-opinion-1542607
We explain the gap between popular polls and our research in our recent Newsweek article entitled "Why so many polls favor Biden”. https://www.newsweek.com/why-so-many-polls-favor-biden-opinion-1542607
