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Travis Fain
TravisFain
In briefing for #ncga legislators @SecMandyCohen says state does not yet have projections it feels confident in re: When COVID-19 cases peak, how many beds are needed, etc. Notes many
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Ned Nikolov, Ph.D.
NikolovScience
Comparing #COVID19 Projections (https://covid19.healthdata.org/projections ) with reported data by Covid Tracking (https://covidtracking.com/data/ ) for Apr 5:- Overestimation of hospitalizations: 8 times- Overestimation of of ICU beds need
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Michael Lin, PhD-MD
michaelzlin
Here's a very useful website that predicts #COVID19 hospitalizations and deaths over time by country and state. You can see how your country or state is doing resisting #SARSCOV2. Of
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Clay Travis
ClayTravis
University of Washington just updated their model. Now shows the coronavirus outbreak over much sooner. Projected total deaths down to 80k.https://covid19.healthdata.org/projections Most states are now peaking at much lower numbers.
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David Spiegelhalter
d_spiegel
On Monday April 6th, IHME predicted 66,314 deaths in the UK, with a maximum of 2,932 deaths on April 17th. This got a mass of coverage. https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/apr/07/uk-will-be-europes-worst-hit-by-coronavirus-study-predicts Just thre
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Taylor Nichols, MD
tnicholsmd
UPDATED DATA:New modeling suggests that California's peak will now be on April 13th, and with dramatically lower numbers thanks to significantly flattening of the curve and reducing transmission.https://covid19.healthdata.org/united-states-of-ame
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Randy McNally
ltgovmcnally
THREAD: The University of Washington’s @IHME_UW has updated its #COVID19 modeling for Tennessee. Our projected peak has been moved up, our projected death rate has been adjusted down and it
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Sanjay G Reddy
sanjaygreddy
"By the end of the first wave of the epidemic, an estimated 97% of the population of the United States will still be susceptible to the disease and thus measures
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Nathan Hill
nj_hill
Retweeting...sorry, needed to crop the first set. Also throwing in US this time. @AlexBerenson @justin_hart @BrendanEich Here's the link...looking further, its column D that's most pertinent as it projects bed
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Julie Kelly 🇺🇸
julie_kelly2
While you were sleeping... projections in the Murray model were modified, some dramatically so. Total deaths at peak date are way down—so is demand for hospital beds, ICUs and ventilators
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Mike Beuoy
inpredict
A tale of two models: California Covid death projections from IHME and the Los Alamos National Laboratory team.The difference highlights a key assumption about what is actually happening on the
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Alex Berenson
AlexBerenson
1/ Let's get back to the (new!) @IHME_UW #COVID model - this time looking at states. Recall, the model cut its estimate of peak hospitalizations almost in half last night,
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Simon I. Hay
simonihay
1. Congratulations to IHME COVID-19 Forecasting Team (@IHME_UW) on “#Modeling #COVID-19 #scenarios for the #UnitedStates” @NatureMedicine doi:10.1038/s41591-020-1132-9 #OpenAccess 2. The #COVID-19 #wintersurge that we’ve been predicti
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Joy-Ann 😷Reid
JoyAnnReid
Let's just be clear: Donald Trump is not going to Kenosha to calm the city or to comfort the family of Jacob Blake, or the families of Anthony Huber and
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Puff the Magic Hater
MsKellyMHayes
About those improved IHME numbers -- did anyone else notice that they have Illinois down as having had one death yesterday when we had over 80 folks die in our
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Alicia Smith
Alicia_Smith19
Good afternoon everyone! The IHME model just updated again. As always, models are fed new info as it comes in to recalibrate its predictions. Let's see what has changed since
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