David Spiegelhalter
d_spiegel
My blog on the COVID risks faced by *population* during the peak of the epidemic (great ONS E+W data)https://medium.com/@d_spiegel/what-are-the-risks-of-covid-and-what-is-meant-by-the-risks-of-covid-c828695aea69 1 in 1800 died over 5 weeks. Risks dou
Read more
On Monday April 6th, IHME predicted 66,314 deaths in the UK, with a maximum of 2,932 deaths on April 17th. This got a mass of coverage. https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/apr/07/uk-will-be-europes-worst-hit-by-coronavirus-study-predicts Just thre
Read more
Congratulations to @UKStatsAuth, @StatsRegulation, @ONS, @NHSuk, @PHE_uk, @DHSCgovuk for improvements in Covid mortality stats. UKSA and OSR have been pushing hard https://www.statisticsauthority.gov.uk/news/statement-from-the-office-for-statistics-r
Read more