University of Washington just updated their model. Now shows the coronavirus outbreak over much sooner. Projected total deaths down to 80k. https://covid19.healthdata.org/projections 

Most states are now peaking at much lower numbers. Total coronavirus deaths in Tennessee, for instance, now projected to be just over 500 in entire state, peaking at 25 deaths in a single day in ten days.

Here’s the most recent curve model. Now outbreak is projected to effectively be over by June 1.

Total coronavirus death projections for entire state of Texas:

Total coronavirus death projections for the entire state of California.

Total coronavirus deaths projected for the entire state of Ohio: 544. (Peaks at 29 deaths in a day on April 16th).