In briefing for #ncga legislators @SecMandyCohen says state does not yet have projections it feels confident in re: When COVID-19 cases peak, how many beds are needed, etc. Notes many models are out there, hoping to share "some preliminary understanding" next week.
Cohen says this will likely be "more like a weather report" predicting probabilities "I don& #39;t think we will ever have the kind of precision that we would ultimately desire, but we& #39;re going to do the best that we can."
Based on some responses to this thread - please don& #39;t mistake this for a lack of action from the state. They& #39;ve said, repeatedly, they& #39;re prepping for a hospital bed surge. Among other things, looking for places the Army Corps of Engineers can retrofit, and they& #39;re clearly ...
.... clearly aware of modeling that exists elsewhere, including these state by state predictions from the University of Washington& #39;s IHME. https://covid19.healthdata.org/projections ">https://covid19.healthdata.org/projectio...