In briefing for #ncga legislators @SecMandyCohen says state does not yet have projections it feels confident in re: When COVID-19 cases peak, how many beds are needed, etc. Notes many models are out there, hoping to share "some preliminary understanding" next week.

Cohen says this will likely be "more like a weather report" predicting probabilities "I don't think we will ever have the kind of precision that we would ultimately desire, but we're going to do the best that we can."

Based on some responses to this thread - please don't mistake this for a lack of action from the state. They've said, repeatedly, they're prepping for a hospital bed surge. Among other things, looking for places the Army Corps of Engineers can retrofit, and they're clearly ...

.... clearly aware of modeling that exists elsewhere, including these state by state predictions from the University of Washington's IHME. https://covid19.healthdata.org/projections