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#Estimate
Alex Washburne
Alex_Washburne
When folk estimated a herd immunity threshold, not only did many miss the importance of heterogeneity in transmission and susceptibility in lowering HIT, but they may have also missed important
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Election Maps UK
ElectionMapsUK
Well, the elections in 10 days just got a bit more exciting...An 11pt CON lead would mean a net GAIN of seats for the Tories, and an utterly dire result
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Paul Krugman
paulkrugman
I've been doing some homework on the economics of social distancing, and its implications for reopening. Not surprisingly, the Trump admin is refusing to do cost-benefit analysis 1/https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/2020/05/23/gove
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Pauli Ohukainen, PhD
POhukainen
I find this quite interesting; the estimates for the association between wearing a #mask and some coronavirus infection in non-hc setting (0.56, 95% CI: 0.40-0.79) is roughly the same magnitude
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Alex Berenson
AlexBerenson
1/ Let's get back to the (new!) @IHME_UW #COVID model - this time looking at states. Recall, the model cut its estimate of peak hospitalizations almost in half last night,
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PoliMath
politicalmath
Here is a better interpretation:The original estimate of 1 million - 2.2 million dead was too high.The 100K-250K deaths was a better one that assumed a certain parameters. We could
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Andy Walsh
MadroxDupe42
I've been staying off social media, but I stumbled across this & it made me physically ill. I'm sorry; I don't know how to let it go by w/o comment.TL;
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Master Po
OfWudan
Imagine being a government agency and getting funded millions of dollars to pull super vague numbers out of the sky. Best job ever. “What’s your predictions for people who could
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David Sheppard
OilSheppard
Interesting numbers from Sir Patrick Vallance based on serology tests:~10% of Londoners thought to have had coronavirus~4% for rest of UKThat implies ~3m total across UK from population of 66m
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Health Nerd
GidMK
Lots of people are still comparing the COVID-19 death rate with influenza ("it's only as deadly as the flu!")This is very misleadingIf you compare apples to apples, COVID-19 is MUCH
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M Gabriela M Gomes
mgmgomes1
Latest on individual variation in susceptibility or exposure to #SARSCoV2 and #COVID19 with Marco Colombo, Joe Mellor, Helen Colhoun and Paul McKeigue: Trajectory of COVID-19 epidemic in Europehttps://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.09
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Santiago
svpino
If you want to make money as a Software Developer, you need to get good at estimating work.A good estimate is the foundation for a profitable project. (There's more
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Sina Booeshaghi
sinabooeshaghi
Using dimensional analysis I estimate that the energy contained in the awful #Beirut explosion was approximately 12 Terajoules = 3 kilotons of TNT. For reference the "Little Boy" dropped on
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Avi Yemini 🇦🇺🇮🇱
OzraeliAvi
The CCP claims only 3,326 died in China from the Wuhan virus.While the Washington Post estimates approx 40,000 dead in China.However, the 21 MILLION dead mobile phone services estimate a
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Health Nerd
GidMK
A thought I've been having a lot recently - everyone says that waves 2 & 3 of COVID-19 have been markedly different from the firstThis is often used to support
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Ed Crooks
Ed_Crooks
What will the 2020 elections mean for energy? Wood Mackenzie analysts have been assessing the implications for everything from offshore oil to EV sales. We've published a summary of their
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