Here is a better interpretation:

The original estimate of 1 million - 2.2 million dead was too high.

The 100K-250K deaths was a better one that assumed a certain parameters. We could still hit 100K pretty easily if things go bad.

There are signs that things won& #39;t go that bad.
One of the more annoying things in all this are the people who assume that Trump is privy to some all-knowing perfect-prediction secret intelligence source & therefore has no excuses for perfect knowledge and execution.

Friends, that is not a thing that exists.
You can follow @politicalmath.
Tip: mention @twtextapp on a Twitter thread with the keyword “unroll” to get a link to it.

Latest Threads Unrolled: