Interesting numbers from Sir Patrick Vallance based on serology tests:
~10% of Londoners thought to have had coronavirus
~4% for rest of UK
That implies ~3m total across UK from population of 66m
~10% of Londoners thought to have had coronavirus
~4% for rest of UK
That implies ~3m total across UK from population of 66m
At its peak he added it was doubling every 3-4 days. If you conservatively estimate ~2m infections came pre-lockdown that means if we’d waited another fortnight roughly half the population would have been infected.
Going the other way they think we’re now down to ~130,000 infections UK wide with that number roughly halfing every two weeks.
Would take two months with existing measures to get that down to around 8,000.
Would take two months with existing measures to get that down to around 8,000.