#Lombardy

NYC statistics on confirmed cases continue to astound me. People probably still think of Lombardy in Italy as the worst case in Western world as far as the outbreak, but

Also relevant here is Italy, where there’s been a much steeper decline in positive test rates in Lombardy, the worst-affected region, than in the rest of the country. Both peaked

For two weeks, I have defended the view that Lombardy has reached herd immunity and Covid will slow down. The recent daily deaths from Lombardy were 458, 381, 367, 351,

Daniil Gorbatenko

These are probably the most stunning graphs on #COVID2019 #COVID19 They are from a paper analyzing the initial spread in Lombardian communes and they show that the transmission started falling

@AmeshAA @michaelmina_lab @baldingsworld Looking at Italy's regional data hospitalizations rates (unsurprisingly) correlate with median age of positive cases. And median age seems to correlate with the ratio of tests/case (source:

Valerio Capraro

Exactly one month ago Italy found its first case of #coronavirus. I’ll tell you what happened in only one month. I hope you can learn from our mistakes. 1. In

With the focus on possible good news over the last few days, let's step back and think about the the various measures of COVID and how they fit together, using

Faytuks News Δ

#BREAKING - The epidemic/diffusion of the novel Coronavirus in Northern Italy, Lombardy shows a death rate NOT compatible with the original #COVID19 but more comparable with SARS. This indicates that

Vincent Rajkumar

When I see trends in Wuhan, Lombardi, and NY, I’m once again convinced that there may be a subset of the population that’s just not susceptible to COVID, and may

If you want to understand why Northern Italy ended up the first western epicenter of the COVID-19 pandemic, this is the place to starthttps://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2018/04/16/the-chinese-workers-who-assemble-designer-bags-in-tuscany A geographic

Germany joins China and Taiwan in concluding that COVID-19 rarely spreads through casual contact It spreads through repeated, large doses, such as you get while sheltering in place. Of course,

working with @HealthFdn and @INETOxford put together comparable statistics for impact from pandemic over first wave so far, using different methods, and comparing with G7 and hardest hit in Europe...

Jordan Schachtel

JordanSchachtel

Again, you are *attributing* the bending of the curve to lockdown. If in fact millions of ppl there had already acquired COVID-19 (a hypothesis shared by many renowned scientists), lockdown

Thomas P. Bossert

NY State has more than 2,000 deaths. That equates to about 100 deaths per million. If they continue to follow the Lombardy curve, the cumulative death rate near the peak

Yossi Gestetner

1/ THREAD of what know and/or what we are told:- Coronavirus is VERY contagious so anyone who was in the same room of an infected person (even hours later) needs

"New York had 4,749 deaths as a result of influenza and pneumonia in 2018, according to the Centers for Disease Control".NYC = ~50% so ~2400. There have been 1867 deaths