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Trevor Bedford
trvrb
The drivers of the #COVID19 epidemic in India are certainly multifactorial, but we have now seen the viral lineage B.1.617 linked to this epidemic continue to increase in frequency in
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From Aug 2020 to Mar 2021, the lagged case fatality rate (CFR) of the US #COVID19 epidemic had remained largely constant at ~1.5% and provided a simple method to predict
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There are effectively two #COVID19 epidemics in the US at this moment; one largely resolving epidemic comprised of non-variant viruses and one growing epidemic of B.1.1.7. Together they have resulted
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It's hard for me to infer the degree to which new variants are driving the surge in cases in India, but we are seeing rapid growth in frequency of multiple
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When variants of concern were first identified in late Dec, the US was not where it needed to be in terms of genomic surveillance. However, with considerable ramp up by
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Daily #COVID19 case counts are increasing in the US and we seem to hitting a third wave (or second surge if you'd prefer). Here I wanted to look at how
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I wanted to discuss the degree to which population immunity may be contributing to curbing #COVID19 in Florida, Arizona and Texas, where recent surges have resulted in substantial epidemics. 1/16
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It's abundantly clear that societal behavior strongly impacts #COVID19 spread. We saw this early on where social distancing resulted in significant reductions to epidemic spread. With the surge of cases
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As many have noted, there has been an uptick in confirmed #COVID19 cases in multiple states starting roughly at the beginning of June. There is a major question surrounding how
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On Feb 29, using the genetic sequence of the first community case of #COVID19 in Washington State, I made the claim that the Washington State outbreak descended directly from the
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A resident of rural Snohomish County, "Jean" had COVID-like symptoms in late Dec 2019 and has subsequently tested positive in a serological assay. This may have been COVID-19 infection, but
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We now have enough #SARSCoV2 genomic data from different states to make some broad conclusions about how the #COVID19 epidemic has unfolded in the US. 1/14 We see a spectrum
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