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Trevor Bedford
trvrb
The team at the @seattleflustudy have sequenced the genome the #COVID19 community case reported yesterday from Snohomish County, WA, and have posted the sequence publicly to http://gisaid.org . There are some
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Given my statement that the US has 300k - 600k new infections per day, I've had a bunch of responses telling me that #TestTraceIsolate is futile and we should give
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This strongly suggests that there has been cryptic transmission in Washington State for the past 6 weeks. 3/9 It's possible that this genetic similarity is a coincidence and these are
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If we're going to manage a #TestTraceIsolate solution to the #COVID19 epidemic, we need a massive scale up in testing. There are some really exciting initiatives here. 1/9 According to
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These short inserts do indeed exist in #nCoV2019 relative to its closest sequenced relative (BetaCoV/bat/Yunnan/RaTG13/2013, seen here https://nextstrain.org/groups/blab/sars-like-cov). However, a simple BLAST of such short sequences shows match to a
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Thoughts on seroprevalence in NYC. I'm not at all surprised by an estimate of 21% seropositive in NYC as discussed by @NYGovCuomo today (https://twitter.com/NYGovCuomo/status/1253353516803993600). 1/6 I had previously been estimating
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I wanted to respond to news of #COVID19 death in Santa Clara County on Feb 6. This is an interesting, if slightly puzzling, data point. 1/9 We know that there
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First results from the SCAN Study of #COVID19 transmission in King County, Washington, have been released. Overview here: https://publichealthinsider.com/2020/04/17/greater-seattle-coronavirus-assessment-network-scan-releases-data-from-first-18-days-
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There is a lot of Twitter chatter surrounding a rumor that circulation of #COVID19 in California in fall 2019 has resulted in herd immunity. This is empirically not the case.
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Very interesting new preprint by Eran Bendavid and colleagues reports seroprevalence estimates from Santa Clara county. Great to have seroprevalence work start to emerge, but I'd be skeptical of the
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I wanted to give a basic picture of why #TestTraceIsolate is so important to the control of the #COVID19 epidemic and why we need to move quickly when testing and
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Based on the content of my mentions, I feel like I need to further debunk crazy #nCoV2019 / HIV conspiracy preprint. This is a thread doing so. 1/9 This paper
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