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Trevor Bedford
trvrb
I've written before that #COVID19 has no evidence of genetic engineering and the "bioweapon" theory has no grounds. See, for example https://twitter.com/trvrb/status/1224207086013149184. In this thread I wanted to directly address
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This would give 5-10 million infections in the US or about 2-3% cumulative prevalence. This is a long way from the 50% (R0 of 2) to 66% (R0 of 3)
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In many ways, this should be entirely obvious, but we now have strong evidence that social distancing results in decreased #COVID19 transmission rates. 1/7 Modeling analyses can estimate changes in
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A thread on #SARSCoV2 mutations and what they might mean for the #COVID19 vaccination and immunity, in which I predict it will take the virus a few years to mutate
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How can we assess the total number of #SARSCoV2 infections that have occurred up to this point? As others have noted, it's not easy to extrapolate from confirmed cases to
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This is a thread about how to interpret the seemingly sudden appearance of #COVID19 across the much of the US in the past week with some back-of-the-envelop calculations for number
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This article by @USATODAY misleadingly states that there are "8 strains of coronavirus" circulating. Because of this our @nextstrain inbox is today full of questions like "if you get one
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Today, we're standing up a project called NextTrace that aims to enable digital participatory contact tracing and guide #COVID19 surveillance efforts. See a full description here https://nexttrace.org/about or get the
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