Five days before Election Day in 2016, HRC's national lead dropped to 3.0 in 538. (It was 1.3 in RCP). Today it's 8.9 in 538 (and 7.7 in RCP). The time to tighten the race to a plausible Electoral College win is running out, especially with so many having already voted.
Today's and yesterday's state polls have strengthened Biden's position in the swing states too. The only polls keeping Trump in the ballgame in those states are the Trafalgar or AmericanGreatness TrumpPac polls. We'll know soon enough if they're right...or if everybody else is.
If you'd prefer to see the RCP charts for 2020 and 2016, here they are:
IN CONCLUSION - If Trump ends up winning this election, the entire polling business needs to fold up and disappear forever. It would mean that both national, state AND Cong. district polls missed completely, and without the excuse of a single late campaign debate (like 1980).
OH - If you think the polls were way off in 2016, I bring you this from the Wayback Machine. ABC/WaPo, the best national pollster in the biz... https://twitter.com/kylegriffin1/status/794141166086275072?s=20
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