#Projections

1. It was clear early on that the death projections were preposterously high, as anyone listening to my various shows over the last many weeks knew and know. 2. But

Going over this new modeling & looking at the Southeast. SC, NC and TN is looking a lot better and we may have it mostly whipped - for now -by

By existing in a social sphere we receive others projections of ourselves. That projection is built by your interactions with others in a space, and behaviours in that space are

This is super interesting, if you are into statistics. If this website is correct, Oregon is going to be OK (as far as medical resources are concerned) if we continue

Here are all states where >0.5% of the population is currently infected with COVID-19, via https://covid19-projections.com/ RI 1.9%NJ 1.6DC 1.5IL 1.5CT 1.4MA 1.4DE 1.2MS 1.2IN 1.1PA 1.1IA 1.0MD 1.0OH 0.8AZ 0.7CO

Ned Nikolov, Ph.D.

Comparing #COVID19 Projections (https://covid19.healthdata.org/projections ) with reported data by Covid Tracking (https://covidtracking.com/data/ ) for Apr 5:- Overestimation of hospitalizations: 8 times- Overestimation of of ICU beds need

Ned Nikolov, Ph.D.

The #COVID19 hysteria started as a result of dire model "projections" and is still mostly fueled by such predictions (see Dr. Fauci: https://twitter.com/i/status/1244275909944885248).However, reported hospitalizations (https://covidtracking

These @youyanggu projections are interesting. If his model had to make a modal projection, it would be that the US will plateau somewhere near the recent total of ~1,300 deaths

Zack Goldman, wearing a mask

I know the IHME data has myriad issues (best-case distancing assumed, inflated ICU/ventilator figures in some states, etc.) but can someone explain to me how it squares with Newsom's claim

Alex Hernandez 🇺🇸

WIth today's model update, Virginia's peak hospital resource use has moved from May 20 ALL THE WAY FORWARD TO April 20THAT'S ONE HELL OF A CHANGEICU beds needed went from

The projections of covid-19 deaths has gone down from 200k to 60k & nurses are twerking & doing choreography on tiktok.Summer 2020 might still be a go.Let’s get this economy

I'm uncertain about a lot of things re: what will happen in the US on COVID. But some of the models show the chance of a long plateau... i.e. once

Bhramar Mukherjee

This thread is for sharing some perspective on the role of projections. I have received many notes that our previous projections turned out to be true. This actually defeats the

9/15 Weekly http://covid19-projections.com Update:We forecast 24,000 (13-39k) additional reported deaths in the US by November 1 (~500/day).Nov 1 Total Deaths Forecasts:Today: 219k (208-233k)Last week: 219k (207-236k)2 weeks ago: 219k

University of Washington just updated their model. Now shows the coronavirus outbreak over much sooner. Projected total deaths down to 80k.https://covid19.healthdata.org/projections Most states are now peaking at much lower numbers.

In briefing for #ncga legislators @SecMandyCohen says state does not yet have projections it feels confident in re: When COVID-19 cases peak, how many beds are needed, etc. Notes many