Here are all states where >0.5% of the population is currently infected with COVID-19, via https://covid19-projections.com/ 

RI 1.9%
NJ 1.6
DC 1.5
IL 1.5
CT 1.4
MA 1.4
DE 1.2
MS 1.2
IN 1.1
PA 1.1
IA 1.0
MD 1.0
OH 0.8
AZ 0.7
CO 0.7
LA 0.7
MN 0.7
NM 0.7
NY 0.7
GA 0.6
NH 0.6
The rest of the list:

AL 0.5
MI 0.5
MO 0.5
NE 0.5
VA 0.5
ND 0.4
CA 0.3
FL 0.3
NV 0.3
SC 0.3
SD 0.3
KY 0.2
NC 0.2
TX 0.2
UT 0.2
WI 0.2
AR 0.1
KS 0.1
ME 0.1
OK 0.1
TN 0.1
VT 0.1
WA 0.1
WV 0.1
WY 0.1
AK <0.1
HI <0.1
ID <0.1
MT <0.1
Basically no correspondence between states that are actually having bad outbreaks and those that tend to be the subject of media coverage. The biggest problems right now are in dense-ish places in the Northeast (but no longer NY) and the Midwest. MS is a hotspot in the South.
You can follow @NateSilver538.
Tip: mention @twtextapp on a Twitter thread with the keyword “unroll” to get a link to it.

Latest Threads Unrolled: