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#Probability
Kevin Cole
KevinColePFF
Jason Garrett talking about why he doesn't have analytics for things like win probability available to him during the game. He basically shuts down the discussion while throwing out some
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Kate
thingskatedid
Well hello there, I'd like to share some code I wrote in, oh gosh, 2008. I don't actually have the code any more. But here's a picture I drew of
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Dr. Lucy Jones
DrLucyJones
The swarm happening now south of the Salton Sea, near Westmoreland is over 30 km south of the end of the San Andreas. It is in the Brawley seismic zone,
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Simon DeDeo
SimonDeDeo
Attaching probabilities to beliefs may be a useful tool in Bayesian statistics, but is it meaningful? Consider 538: as their models push above 90% for Biden, they are reaching new
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Heresy and Sedition
WildWoodSteve
It gets so much harder to get results, the life one wants, when the pathways of probability are seriously restricted, the shitstorm. If one can't go out one has to
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Sam Trabucco
AlamedaTrabucco
This is actually pretty interesting -- let's say this market does exist. What discount should we be applying to capital that's locked on OKEx?https://twitter.com/cmsholdings/status/1317973201654288395 I’ll preface the rest of this
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Sean Zevran
SeanZevran
Consider this—data indicating the probability of a Sanders victory over Trump in 2020 indicated the probability of a Trump victory over Clinton in 2016 to be *significantly* lower, yet Trump
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Timothy Huyer
tim4hire
This is completely outrageous.How dare the Premier try to attack the credibility of Canada’s Chief Medical Officer of Health for......following the science?1/https://twitter.com/pnpcbc/status/1249829272669339649 How dare the Premi
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Rich Davis, PhD, D(ABMM), MLS 🦠🔬🧫
richdavisphd
Pre-print: "Variation in False Negative Rate of RT-PCR Based SARS-CoV-2 Tests by Time Since Exposure" A new analysis of already published swab (NP swab?) PCR test data.Goal: model & predict
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Captain Jack Andrews
capjack2000
The big story tonight is a $3 million 3-team parlay that could potentially pay $5.5 million (+186)Before you go out and try to tail Mr. $3m & his bet to
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Obscurosaur
obscurosaur
Handles with long numbers at the end, what is the probability they are Islamophobic & Modi bhakts?https://twitter.com/Praveen84822453/status/1246048215851347969 I am considering adding everyone I come across to this thread..
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10-K Diver
10kdiver
1/Get a cup of coffee.In this thread, I'll walk you through the importance of understanding *correlations* between bets.For example, a portfolio of *correlated* stocks can have very different performance characteristics
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Jonas S. Juul
jonassjuul
New paper with @stevenstrogatz is online!We ask: If an infectious disease mutates as it propagates, what fraction of the population will catch the mutant strain? How does this depend on
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Somnath Mukherjee
somnath1978
So many folks posting "I got v few marks in XII and still turned out ok". Many have played Russian Roulette and came out alive and/or rich - doesnt mean
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Vivian | DON’T GO BACK TO WORK
suchnerve
something we gotta collectively talk about is how Boomers buying up more real estate than they need for their own personal living space and then renting the property/ies out instead
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David
Run_DMC1990
Example of misinformed model criticism. The probability of model being dead on was always 0%. Comp’ing day to day is what I’d expect from a high schooler. Shift the curve
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