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#Probability
Trevor Bedford
trvrb
A resident of rural Snohomish County, "Jean" had COVID-like symptoms in late Dec 2019 and has subsequently tested positive in a serological assay. This may have been COVID-19 infection, but
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Andrew Conway
mcnalu
I've just read the key bit of the Public Health Scotland report about the statistics of discharges from hospitals into care homes and outbreaks of the virus.It's pretty clear to
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Emperor👑
EmperorBTC
Beginners are obsessed with complicated strategies.Simple methods work wonders in the long run. I will show you an EMA strategy to make big money without any leverage.Simple doesn't mean low
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Dalila
DalilaAtiqah
What does it mean by #sensitivity vs #sensitivity? what are false positive rate and false negatives? How are they calculated? Here's a simple explanation [Thread] #medtwitter #tweetorial SENSITIVITY aka true
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Alex John London
AlexJohnLondon
When you make an argument like this, please show your work. Let’s think of the cases1. So we deploy an investigational vaccine that doesn’t actually confer immunity or strong immunity.
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communist tory lanez ☭
sensomnoire
What if Astrology isn’t haram like most Muslims think? A thread: Allah gave people gifts and also math taught us probability. Yes? Allah gave us brains to be able to
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James Lindsay, man of internet swagger
ConceptualJames
Unpopular opinion: The female officer in MN made a terrible mistake, and she should be held to account for it because mistakes like this are very serious. That should only
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Keletso Makofane, MPH and 1000 others
klts0
so - I once spent 1 billion hours copy-pasting little circles in powerpoint in an effort to explain *marginal structural models*. here is an unsolicited #tweetorial. If you understand regression
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Lucy D’Agostino McGowan
LucyStats
Prevalence of a disease plays an important role in your probability of having it given you test less relevant for testing COVID-19 infection since RT-PCR rarely (if ever) has
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Evan Ward
EvanWard97
Don't know who needs to hear this, but:Knowing forecasts about P(Trump_wins (nationally)) is primarily useful only for making informed decisions now about stuff *after* the election e.g. calculating P(event |
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Helen Ward
profhelenward
The acrimonious debate about masks between usually sensible people seems unhelpful. Those in the “no evidence, need an RCT, they do harm” camp seem over-anxious, and those saying they are
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Kevin C. Moore
kevcmoore
There is of course strategy. Understanding shot patterns, dispersion, lowest expected score, personal strengths, weaknesses, etc. All of them can be used to increase the probability of winning assuming even
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Diego Bassani, PhD 🏠😷💉
DGBassani
Can the the absence of evidence of in-school transmission be taken as evidence of absence? This is the question that @KaitEJohnson9, @mikha_ehl, M. Stoddard, R. Pasco, Spencer Fox, L. Meyers
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𝕵𝖔𝖗𝖎𝖘🥇
MitchBlockParty
Top 50 NBA players during the 2019-20 season: A thread Before I will tell y'all my Top 50 I just wanted to say this took a lot of time and
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HMK alias MANOJ
scorpiomanojFRM
#Reality Market does not know resistances and supports in any form, like MA, pivots, fib, gann, MP,....; Market is only a flow of orders; An order in a terminal has
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Taal Levi
taaltree
Several companies have tests of varying quality, but Cellex makes a FDA-approved antibody test. The goal is to test for immunity due to prior exposure rather than an active infection.
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