Example of misinformed model criticism. The probability of model being dead on was always 0%. Comp’ing day to day is what I’d expect from a high schooler. Shift the curve and compare trajectory, first & second derivatives. This is pure misinformation: https://twitter.com/justin_hart/status/1245798197533896704
The only thing this thread shows is that the author doesn’t know what a model is and what it isn’t.
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