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#Forecasting
Derek Thompson
DKThomp
There have been a couple of great podcasts/articles about why NFL teams are still so bad at picking QBs. Coupla thoughts.1. QB is one of the most contingent jobs in
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Jack Sillin
JackSillin
The worst of Laura’s surge narrowly missed Lake Charles LA (hence this busted fcst) thanks to a few factors including a last-minute E wobble of the center.We still have a
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Antoine FLAHAULT
FLAHAULT
1/9 - Switzerland - Oct. 30 to Nov 05 - Surge in #COVID19 activity at high levels (R-eff=1.29) with high levels of mortality7 cantons detailedData: https://zh.ch/de/politik-staat/opendata.html?keyword=ogd#/homehttps://renkulab.shinyapps.io/
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Terry Kinder
tkinder
Looking at current 2020 presidential polling it's more and more obvious to me that I'll probably have to change my methods for forecasting the state-by-state vote percentages and electoral college
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Dr. Sonali Vaid MD MPH
SonaliVaid
Thread of various #covid19gaps & #covid19questions related to the public health & humanitarian response & planning that I have posted over time. . Pick any to work on or
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Avlesh Singh
avlesh
COVID impact & readiness at WebEngageA thread.. (1/7)Once my internal teams identified how this pandemic impacts our business, we put together a few models & dashboards to be better prepared
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Jeff Booth
JeffBooth
1) Don't underestimate the power of a network effect Internet users in 1995 = 16 million Internet users in 2020 ~ 5 BillionFor those that don't remember the internet in
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Drew Linzer
DrewLinzer
This is a thread on presidential election forecasting, polls, and fundamentals, based on my research and experience forecasting the 2012 and 2016 elections.Let's walk through some of the debates and
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Steve Forden
mammuthus
Worth a read. The apparent (unless James is missing something obvious and I don't think he is) lack of calibration in some of the epidemiological modelling is very strange. I
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Parlour Coffee
parlourcoffee
A note about selling coffee at a discount : we don’t like doing it because many specialty coffees are underpriced to begin with and we work with incredible roasters who
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Steve Saretsky
SteveSaretsky
1 million jobs lost in March, consensus was forecasting 500k!! Market is still under estimating the magnitude of this.https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-04-09/canada-loses-record-1-million-jobs-in-march-on-virus-shutdown Incredible, really.
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Jónas Haraldsson Balding 大老板
BaldingsWorld
The 3 most widely cited models forecasting the end of civilizations come from Imperial, Harvard, and Washington. We knew their modeling assumptions were wrong from the beginning. How do we
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Yardley Yeadon
MichaelYeadon3
Thank it JOEL. Please everyone, take a look. Weekly death rate England. It’s entirely NORMAL. There aren’t more deaths than usual. There aren’t more respiratory deaths than normal. Govt claims
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Rooshan Aziz
rooshanaziz
The generous covid-19 stimulus packages by advanced economies are being used as a benchmark for analysing Pak’s package. This analysis reported by @TheEconomist shows how we are struggling compared to
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Electroverse
Electroversenet
ANOTHER ACCLAIMED CLIMATE SCIENTIST BREAKS RANKS: “OUR MODELS ARE MICKEY-MOUSE MOCKERIES OF THE REAL WORLD”"The models just become useless pieces of junk or worse (as they can produce gravely misleading
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southpaw
nycsouthpaw
A feature of Trump’s presidency is he’s been able to torque everyone in proximity to him to tell transparent lies. The point of the lies is not necessarily that they
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