Tomer Burg, Discover and Read the Best of Twitter Threads by @burgwx

Tomer Burg

burgwx

Confidence is increasing in a high elevation snow event in the Northeast this week, which isn't unusual but still noteworthy for mid-April.What I'm more intrigued by, however, is some deterministic

This graphic garnered quite a bit of discussion - since not everyone is overly familiar with ensembles, this thread will focus on interpreting this data and what it means for

Between low shear, high ocean heat content (OHC) and very warm SSTs in a loop current in the Gulf of Mexico, Laura is likely to significantly intensify in the Gulf.NHC

Concerned about significant mesoscale flash flooding & wind damage on Friday w/ Invest #98L. I'm primarily concerned about 2 areas, depending on 98L's tropical evolution:1. Near/east of I-95 through Mid

Some observations for 98L's tropical prospects - as many have noted, SSTs are anomalously warm along the Mid Atlantic coast, and given ongoing convection off the SC coast, it's possible

Cutoff upper level lows (ULLs) are notoriously tough to model. After a couple days of uncertainty, a consensus appears to be emerging among global NWP models, though the GFS is

On a day where the US had by far its largest daily deaths yet (+1965), and surpassed the estimated H1N1 pandemic total deaths (up to 12,835 deaths this evening), I'll

For those looking at the ECM snow maps, note that the algorithm tends to overproduce snow near areas of mixing. Take NE NJ between 18z Sun-0z Mon — snow algorithm