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#Scenarios
Ethan Mollick
emollick
The future is more uncertain than I've ever seen, but we still need to plan, whether for our businesses, our careers, or our families. How? There is a tool that
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Glen Peters
Peters_Glen
1. Do Integrated Assessment Models (IAMs) show similar pathways to below 1.5°C?Robust: All have less fossils, more non-fossils.Details (a thread): The range of primary energy in 2100 is from 300EJ
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Bill Kristol
BillKristol
Short thread. There are, I think, three ways Trump could win.In order of likelihood:1. Trump uses the powers of the the executive branch in unprecedented ways (Nixon or Ukraine on
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Beau daddy
butchfluff
This alliance topic is fking dumb, all they wanna do is debate their lil war scenarios, throw in bad k ground and lie about relevancy. the nerve to debate the
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Glen Peters
Peters_Glen
The IMF has updated its GDP projections to a 4.9% decline in 2020. They have a "faster recovery" scenario with a 4.4% decline.@clequere et al (https://rdcu.be/b4lg7 ) estimated a 4-7% reduction
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Rick Wilson
TheRickWilson
1/ We don't know what the WH Counsel's office is going to vomit out when it comes to this social media executive order, but the idea by many Trump "conservatives"
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Haris Gazdar
HarisGazdar
There is no trade-off between saving lives and saving livelihoods and economic growth. The impact of a pandemic on the economy is thought to work through several pathways - and
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Les Perreaux
perreaux
Quebec Public Health's modelling anticipates the province hitting peak hospitalizations within a few days of April 18, with plenty of hospital capacity to spare. 1/4 By the end of the
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Andrew Bostom
andrewbostom
CDC, 5/21/20 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/hcp/planning-scenarios-h.pdf, concedes infection fatality ratio (IFR of) “Covid19/Wuhan flu” is = 0.27%*, almost= to 1957-58 pandemic H2N2 flu in U.S., i.e., 0.26%** h/t @ElonBachma
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balajis.com
balajis
One of the problems with the “herd immunity” narrative is that we don’t know the duration of immunity to SARS-COV-2.For other coronaviruses, and different diseases like malaria, immunity is not
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Kurt Eichenwald
kurteichenwald
The advice I've been giving family since February:"We have no federal government. The Administration will not act until we hit crisis, and even then, won't know what they're doing. Only
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Tim Gould
tgouldao
As always, the release of a new @IEA World Energy Outlook comes with our warnings that the report’s scenarios shouldn’t be treated as forecasts. And sometimes, we get the question
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Katie Smith
miss_katesmith
Let’s talk about self sabotage. It’s when you talk yourself out of something because you’re anxious or you feel you aren’t good enough. Lockdown is going to see these unwanted
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Edda Klipp
EddaKlipp
We present our pre-preprint results from our physical-location and demographics-specific model. We have simulated the COVID-19 outbreak in an entire German municipality. Early results show that schools are major hubs
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Karthik
karthiks
Back to modelling time. The other day I had written a blogpost exploring a few scenarios of spread of Covid-19, and kinda what regulation should look like.https://noenthuda.com/blog/2020/03/30/simulating-covid-19-scenarios/ This morning I
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Ours
shizumaru
Hier j'ai mené un jdr plutôt dans ma zone de confort (petite enquête en urban fantasy), et j'ai réalisé un truc: J'en ai rien à foutre de l'enquête. Je pose
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