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#Infections
Giles Wilkes
Gilesyb
OK. I have 20 minutes to kill and another small Amateur Adventure in Covid Stats. Today: since data for any one day's infections is reported gradually over the next week,
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Bill Hanage
BillHanage
Against a backdrop of justified unrest across the US - as different places ‘open up’ to a greater or lesser extent, there remains a lot of confusion about what to
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Mike Beuoy
inpredict
A tale of two models: California Covid death projections from IHME and the Los Alamos National Laboratory team.The difference highlights a key assumption about what is actually happening on the
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Murad Banaji
muradbanaji
#Covid19UKModelling UK data tells us: at an assumed fatality rate of 1%, there are currently about 1M active infections in the UK (as of 10/05). At a fatality rate of
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Lewis Thomas
lewishthomas
Gov intends to monitor & implement coronavirus measures using R & the number of infections. Testing is unlikely to cover everyone with symptoms for a while yet, so how can
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Dave Vanness
djvanness
Can anyone confirm these serology testing results from Oise France (see thread for details)? If the immunity ratio in this region is 10%, that implies a very low ascertainment rate
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Ashish K. Jha, MD, MPH
ashishkjha
India reports another 400,000+ cases, 4000+ death dayA sustained level of horriblenessAnd its not correctTrue number surely closer to 25,000 deaths, 2-5 million infections todayLots of ways to estimate but
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Jeff Barkley 🇨🇦
nograft
Dr. Henry explained, very early during the pandemic, that there were several reasons not to give out detailed data on locations of infections to the public. It could make racism
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Dr. Nelly Bosire
Starlight_Bo
Think of it this way, if you had a heavy crazy rain in Nairobi for 48hts, our drainage systems will get overwhelmed and he city would flood. But if the
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Jack Jenkins
jackmjenkins
1. Last week an AEI poll found that *12%* of faith communities are worshipping as normal (in-person).And the rationale for the media attention is pretty straightforward: it doesn’t take a
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Jamie Woodhouse
JamieWoodhouse
Dear @WHO,When you announce there are 1 million #COVID19 cases, please can you make it clear that the actual number of infections may be closer to 100 million.Estimates here (Imperial
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Ashish K. Jha, MD, MPH
ashishkjha
On 9/23, Indiana's @GovHolcomb lifted nearly all COVID19 restrictionshttps://www.wfyi.org/news/articles/gov-eric-holcomb-lifts-almost-all-covid-19-restrictionsThis struck me and other public health folks as dangerousA month later, how
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FriEda
FriEda71111436
It’s honestly astonishing how many people still try to justify Johnson’s numerous Covid mistakes ”He was under too much pressure””People would have celebrated Christmas anyway “”The U.K. has a denser
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Subhasree Ray
DrSubhasree
As we already know that #COVID19 is majorly affecting people who are living with #Diabetes Mellitus, high BP, high cholesterol, and obesity, in this thread, the association between diabetes and
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Al Rush
exRAF_Al
But there’s another, potentially even more serious problem: the way that deaths are recorded. If someone dies of a respiratory infection in the UK, the specific cause of the infection
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Steve Glazer
Steve_Glazer
10 questions we should answer as our state reopens further: 1. Based on testing and hospitalization data, it appears there are more COVID 19 infections today than when sheltering in
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