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Murad Banaji
muradbanaji
Hopeful signs that hospitalisations/deaths are peaking in Mumbai. If so, there's been a long delay of ~24 days since (weekly average) cases peaked - around April 7. Trying to understand
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Mumbai #COVID19 update. A sad landmark: officially 0.1% of the city have died of COVID-19. The so-called "population fatality rate" of COVID-19 in the city is now at 0.1%. Daily
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There isn't much good news coming out of India. Here's some: Mumbai's data is showing what looks like vaccines reducing fatalities. First bit of data: the fraction of deaths amongst
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A on Delhi's COVID epidemic - to put the devastating current news in context. The desperate hunt of beds, the shortages of oxygen, almost 30K positive tests and over
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I've put down some estimates of COVID-19 infection fatality rate (IFR) in Mumbai during 2020. To estimate IFR you need: (1) the number of deaths (the numerator) and (2) the
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How many have had #COVID19 in Delhi? What % of infections have been detected? What is the fatality rate?A (longish) #thread on Delhi's epidemic, with some analysis of its three
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Some general thoughts (in random order) on COVID-19 death undercounting in India following the recent article in The Hindu (https://www.thehindu.com/opinion/op-ed/covid-19-deaths-are-not-as-low-as-reported/article32310814.ece) by @giridar10
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I took a look at Mumbai's #COVID19 data by age and came to some worrying conclusions. I'd encourage people celebrating seemingly low IFR values to look more closely. I used:
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We know that COVID-19 is bad in Maharashtra. But how bad? How prevalent is COVID-19 in Mumbai? Has it peaked? Is it going to be over any time soon? I
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Some #COVID19 rates: their meanings and implications (very roughly). Thread.- recovery rate- case fatality rate- infection fatality rate- mortality rate- test positivity rate- case detection rate Recovery rate: % of
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#COVID19 in Delhi. The question is not whether the Delhi govt is underreporting #COVID19 deaths, but by how much? I'll examine this with press reports and modelling. Conclusion: Delhi #COVID19
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The fatality rate that @fayedsouza refers to is the "case fatality rate" (CFR). Let's remember that it tells us almost nothing about the true "infection fatality rate" (IFR) in India
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