#Hypothesis

Dr. Mansa Keita

rasmansa

Question for philosophy of science people:Do you think a scientific hypothesis has any inherently significant scientific value?I think a hypothesis has to go through at least some testing that support

IDinsight

IDinsight

In this three-part blog series, our Chief Economist Dan Stein writes about multiple hypothesis testing in impact evaluations. Part 1: When do you need to worry about multiple hypothesis testing?

Larry Coon

LarryCoon

Yeah, you confirmed that you're reading a massive strawman into what I'm saying. You're taking it about 10 steps past my observation and assuming my observation assume the endpoint rather

Yaneer Bar-Yam

yaneerbaryam

The main problem with statistics is the concept of the null hypothesis. @nntaleb Replacement concept: Space of possibilities. Example:COVID: Which disease is the "null hypothesis" Flu? SARS?Correct: Consider the space

Mark Guzdial

guzdial

For planning researchers @amyjko @shuchig @ShriramKMurthi, why do you think it works? My 3 hypotheses (orthogonal). Others? Hypothesis #1: It's a form of reflection that primes memory, thus making it

Leonardo Carella

leonardocarella

This is quite interesting. Keeping in mind that social grade is a bad proxy for class, something has happened to voter alignment around redistributive policies. (1) hypothesis one: realignment +

Matthew

Matthew94091812

Surface cleaning has largely been phased out as a COVID mitigation. This 2015 cross-sectional study found increased surface cleaning in homes was correlated with greater respiratory infections in children. See

Stanley Jones

stanley00

I just learned about the Dunning-Kruger effect and now I’m an expert in hyphenated eponymous theories. I just learned about the Baader-Meinhof phenomenon and now I’m seeing it everywhere. I

Newman Nahas

NahasNewman

1/ What would falsify the hypothesis that comprehensive lockdowns are more potent by orders of magnitude than moderate mitigation measures? 2/ You would think that the following would be enough:

Dani Donovan 🧑🏻‍🎨 ADHD Comics

danidonovan

I don’t have a “deficiency.”As imperfect as I may be, I am not defective.My brain simply refuses to adapt to the organized structure of societal expectations. Modern workplaces and schools

John Roman

JohnKRoman

Germany and France have the same number of confirmed cases (108,000 or so) but France has 5X as many deaths. Germany has conducted 5X as many tests. So, that leads

Lucy L. Gao

lucylgao

"Double-dipping" - generating a hypothesis based on your data, and then testing the hypothesis on that same data - is dangerous. To see this, let's take data with no signal

Yogi Jaeger

yoginho

Darwinian Gaia: the persister perspective on evolution. https://aeon.co/essays/the-gaia-hypothesis-reimagined-by-one-of-its-key-sceptics via @aeonmag I think this an amazingly refreshing and interesting new view on evolution. For several re

Disclose.tv 🚨

disclosetv

BREAKING - Researchers suspect a **protective effect** of nicotine on #COVID19. This assumption is based on the low number of smokers among coronavirus patients - worldwide the rate is only

Cecile Janssens

cecilejanssens

These days, researchers are so focused on data that they seem to forget the value and power of logical reasoning in science. This week in journal club, we applied logical

Olivier Blanchard

ojblanchard1

1. For the record. Larry Summers and I indeed argued for hysteresis in Europe in the 1980s. We thought, and I still do, that, in that context, high actual unemployment