Germany and France have the same number of confirmed cases (108,000 or so) but France has 5X as many deaths. Germany has conducted 5X as many tests. So, that leads to two competing hypotheses.

Hypothesis 1. Germany is better at screening and isolating confirmed cases, is flattening the curve, and will therefore prevent many of the deaths occurring in France.

Hypothesis 2. Germany has so many confirmed cases and few deaths b/c they have screened so early. Thus, Germany is actually several days behind France in the evolution of the virus and thus will quickly end up w/the same number of deaths.

The question then is: how effectively is Germany isolating confirmed cases?