The main problem with statistics is the concept of the null hypothesis.

@nntaleb

Replacement concept: Space of possibilities.

Example:

COVID: Which disease is the "null hypothesis"

Flu? SARS?

Correct: Consider the space of possibilities.

So it is a new disease: Be afraid. Very afraid.

Now we know enough to confirm.

Perhaps some will need more, because they are still stuck on the specific null hypothesis they chose.

Anyone who isn't will get it immediately.

For clarity change one word:

Now we know enough to confirm.

Perhaps some will need more, because they are still stuck on the specific null hypothesis they chose.

Anyone who isn't will understand immediately.