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Leonardo Carella
leonardocarella
If Labour wants to stand athwart the forces of realignment, yelling "stop", they're welcome to it. Virtually no social democratic party did it successfully, and it's unlikely that the trick
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Now for some poli-sci victory laps. The 'citizen forecast', the favourite model of all quacks based on asking people "who do you think is going to win?", had Trump winning
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Dumb British leftists confidently predicting that Biden would lose to Trump, a thread (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7) (8) (9) (10) (11) (12) (13) (14) (15) (16)
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This is quite interesting. Keeping in mind that social grade is a bad proxy for class, something has happened to voter alignment around redistributive policies. (1) hypothesis one: realignment +
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(The deeper point to today’s antics, a point that underlies basically the entirety of UK politics, is that a single-party majority is essentially unaccountable for 5 years straight. Sometimes a
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I have been playing around with 2020 Dem VP picks and I ended up making graphs... So here it goes. I took 24 name of eligible women who have been
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1. Downplaying 2. Euro-bashing 3. Culture wars 4. Jingoism 5. Miscellaneous, unclassifiable nonsense
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My lockdown hobby is collecting dumb Telegraph coronavirus headlines. They broadly fall into five categories: 1. Downplaying 2. Euro-bashing 3. Culture wars 4. Jingoism 5. Miscellaneous, unclassifiable nonsense
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