#Estimates

Margot Cleveland

ProfMJCleveland

I know everyone is saying models were wrong, but here's what I want to know: How were they wrong? My understanding is that the models used certain estimates of how

Update: following today's hospital data, a cautious estimate of the number of UK excess deaths during the Covid-19 pandemic up to 18 May is62,100Of these, we know 51,441 have occurred,

Another paper from Imperial College. This one looks at data from around Europe and uses it to estimate the effects of the various measures that have been taken. There are

Anna "Legacy Archaeologist" Filina

Estimates just don't work. They never have. It is a lie that we tell for fake comfort. It's not our fault. The world has conditioned us to believe that estimates

1/ Morning folks. Wondering why @CDCgov is using such aggressive rules for death counts? Look - there's considerable evidence #COVID infections have peaked in the US. Even the POTUS comments

Liz Ann Sonders

Intuitively, we can sense that stocks have disconnected from earnings estimates; but check out below, which shows that correlation betweeen S&P 500 & forward earnings estimates has been +.90 over

Oliver Maclaren

Someone in the NZ media should ask Simon Thornley if the reason for his COVID skepticism is his past failures to accurately predict outbreaks. I haven’t mentioned this here before,

seeing another n o e s t i m a t e s conversation where the people involved basically don't understand the type of estimates that NE is talking aboutI've

Here's how "off" forward estimates are for the leading SaaS businesses (which to me implies the forward multiples are artificially inflated and these businesses will grow into their multiples much

U.S. Census Bureau

Based on responses collected Sept. 30-Oct. 12, the #HouseholdPulseSurvey estimates that 10.3% of American adults lived in households where there was either sometimes or often not enough to eat in

U.S. Census Bureau

Based on responses collected September 16-28, the #HouseholdPulseSurvey estimates that 24.0% of American adults expect someone in their household to experience a loss in employment income in the next 4

By the time New York City confirmed its first case of coronavirus on March 1, some 10,000 infections were already invisibly spreading through the city, new research estimateshttps://nyti.ms/2VysPYx On March

Carl T. Bergstrom

With guidance from this newly released CDC document, federal agencies are modeling the COVID pandemic using implausibly low fatality rate. Their "best estimate" has a symptomatic CFR of 0.4%Their worst

Really Unsarcastic Daniel

Thoughts on best values (based on current estimates). If estimates low which i think they are for $roku & estc then is even better:1) $roku: 9x 21 revs growing mid

#DC: their model estimates the outbreak in the nation’s capital will peak June 28. @IHME_UW says peak is April 16. DC model predicts hospitals will need 1,453 ventilators at peak.

Lots of serology happening around the world, so I thought I'd do a thread collating some of the infection-fatality estimates for #COVID19 1/n 2/n INFECTION-fatality rate (IFR) is the rate