1/ Morning folks. Wondering why @CDCgov is using such aggressive rules for death counts? Look - there& #39;s considerable evidence #COVID infections have peaked in the US. Even the POTUS comments last night warning about this being the "toughest week" suggest as much (deaths lag)...
2/ And the emerging data out of Florida, Southern California, etc suggest that this virus - like most respiratory viruses - doesn& #39;t do well when the weather warms and UV rays get stronger. Great news! Right? Right? Well... we& #39;re at under 9,000 deaths now.
3/ Suppose the president is right. And this is the
"toughest week." And we average 1,500 deaths a day. That gets us to almost 20,000 deaths by April 12. By then the trend should clearly be down, I don& #39;t think it will be arguable...
"toughest week." And we average 1,500 deaths a day. That gets us to almost 20,000 deaths by April 12. By then the trend should clearly be down, I don& #39;t think it will be arguable...
4/ 20,000 deaths, with perhaps that many more coming over the next month (deaths lag). That& #39;s terrible! Yeah. It is. But @CDCgov is estimating 24,000-63,000 flu deaths this year. https://www.cdc.gov/flu/about/burden/preliminary-in-season-estimates.htm">https://www.cdc.gov/flu/about...