Intuitively, we can sense that stocks have disconnected from earnings estimates; but check out below, which shows that correlation betweeen S&P 500 & forward earnings estimates has been +.90 over past 20 years, but a mirror image -.90 since 3/23/20
Oops ... S&P 500 lines should be labeled “left” (if that wasn’t already obvious) ... sorry
For the many who replied to this tweet & asked whether correlation might have also been negative around GFC era, answer is yes—at start of bull market (3/9/2009-5/8/2009), correlation was, like recently, -0.9
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