I know everyone is saying models were wrong, but here& #39;s what I want to know: How were they wrong? My understanding is that the models used certain estimates of how many people would self-isolate, etc. So let& #39;s say 80% of those >60, 30% of those 20-40, etc. 1/
2/ Was it those estimates that were wrong? Or was it the extrapolation based on correct estimates? I think that matters greatly b/c the former is much more a questimate impossible to perfect b/c never b/f have we tried this, while later was/is based on scientific extrapolation