#Counterfactual

Haroon Dean

haroonisdreamin

I'm going to do a stupid thing on the internet and be nuanced. MSA is the brainchild of a few founders, most notably the late Dr. Ahmed Sakr. While it

Jonathan Portes

jdportes

This is a good, balanced and well-argued "defense" of austerity by @MrRBourne. Good start: he admits scaremongering about the gilts markets was wrong, both theoretically and empirically and that many

Terence Wood

terencewoodnz

Spreadsheet breakthough!I think NZ's aid for the coming fyr will be almost identical to the amount it was projected to be at the beginning of last fyr. No increase in

Karl Higley

karlhigley

Counter-intuitively, if your recommender is trained on data collected from past interactions with recs, retraining new models regularly doesn’t resolve the issue of performance decaying over time and can actually

Sam Bowman

s8mb

I have written with @pdmsero on Sweden as the Covid counterfactual – "Live free and die".https://thecritic.co.uk/live-free-and-die-swedens-coronavirus-experience/ We describe what we know now about Covid – that it is extremely

Ranu Dhillon

RanuDhillon

1/ A hang-up on rapid tests that I've heard is that it'll be difficult for health depts to track resultsDecentralized screening makes that difficult but stopping spread should be the

Andrew Egger

EggerDC

I've started to see this image crop up in GOP circles as a shorthand for the election fraud that they claim took place in Wisconsin and other states. This is

Justin Miller

justinjm1

Rittenhouse was not attacked prior to the first shooting, according to investigators. (Maybe he would've been, but that's a counterfactual.) Rosenbaum, unarmed, did no more than approach him and throw

Liam Bright

lastpositivist

Thing I saw just now and have witnessed plenty irl too, is the following move made in lefty circles:

Sasha Clarkson #EarthlingInternationalist

SashaClarkson

At the beginning of this crisis, Sweden ignored @WHO advice, and did no lock down.In the UK, innumerate right-wing pundits opposed to lockdown suggest that Sweden is doing wonderfully well,

Brian Ruff

brian_brianr

#LearnMMT – is “Modern Monetary Theory” – ironic since its neither modern nor a theory. Local experts include @redgenkosi @BuddyWells1 Here’s my basic understanding: MMT is a lens through which

Raj Mehta, MD

raj_mehta

1/ Tweetorial on Cause & Effect in Evidence Based MedicineAlternatively: why we need to know the natural history of diseaseCausal reasoning is a core part of the practice of medicine,

M Gabriela M Gomes

mgmgomes1

Latest on individual variation in susceptibility or exposure to #SARSCoV2 and #COVID19 with Marco Colombo, Joe Mellor, Helen Colhoun and Paul McKeigue: Trajectory of COVID-19 epidemic in Europehttps://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.09

Julian Wolfson

DrJWolfson

I understand the excitement about #GRExit, and it makes for good departmental PR, but where is the evidence that it is not a useful predictor of grad school success? 1/2

dolomite is my name

anthony_siy

Nostalgia for "The good old days of lawful evil" usually involves transport images - uncongested trains and streets. But while traffic congestion is more palpable now, it doesn't mean choices

Christian Althaus

C_Althaus

New preprint with @skepteis, @AnthonyHauser5 and @JulRiou where we investigate counterfactual scenarios of an earlier and later implementation of non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) against #SARSCoV2 in Switzerland @ISPMBern @unibern (1