#Counterfactual

Stéphane Helleringer

helleringer143

A thread on the measurement of excess mortality and uncounted COVID19 deaths. Key point: be careful inferring number of uncounted COVID19 deaths from a look at all-cause mortality data 1/n

Daniel Bier

FT__Dan

And yes, the decision to yank J&J’s vaccine was the trigger.Daily vaccinations were rapidly growing for every demographic under 50, and stable for 50-64, until the FDA’s “pause” (as though

Matt Butner

MattButner

ResearchAbundant natural gas from the Shale Revolution transformed the electric power sector. No doubt. But, how much did abundant natural gas..- displace coal?- crowd-out investment in renewables?- reduce CO2 emissions?PAPER

Venkatesh Rao

vgr

The future never arrives with the aesthetics of anybody who’s been actually preparing for it even if it’s a functional equivalent Exhibit A: colorfully home-made domestic cozy Etsy masks where

Lyman Stone 石來民 🦬🦬🦬

lymanstoneky

gonna publish a paper arguing that what's wrong with america is all the sports and television and im like HOLINESS-WESLEYANISM LEVELS ARE OVER 9,000!!! did you know american men spend

Daniel Bier

FT__Dan

An ABC poll claims that vaccine uptake “intention” has improved since January. This has been cited by experts to claim that vaccine hesitancy is not the issue with “plateauing” vaccinations.In

Megan Konar

MeganKonar

How does trade impact the environment?A thread collecting papers that address this question. Emphasis on research using causal inference methods.Please let me know what papers should be included![THREAD]1/n Is trade

OxfordSceptic

OxfordSceptic

A philosophical thread on $TSLA and $TSLAQ1/ This is a society of enablement. This is not to say society is a uniform entity or that there are no obstacles for

Moshe Hoffman

Moshe_Hoffman

New paper (). We present+test a functional explanation for why we are “ineffective altruists”.Allow me to summarize the paper. And use it to highlight what we think is “the right

Dirk Auer

AuerDirk

In response to my post regarding the Google case in the US, @stevesalop (a giant in our field) posted a (very) short comment on @TOTMblog.I think it is worth replying

Jon Worth

jonworth

Let's try a little counterfactual threadThe critique from plenty of people in and has been got its vaccines strategy *wrong*So if it were wrong, what should it

Zero HP Lovecraft 🦅🐍

0x49fa98

In one of his most famous stories, Borges wrote about a fictional city named Tlön, in a country called Uqbar, on a planet called Orbis Tertius. The story of Tlön

Omar Wasow

owasow

For 15 years, I’ve been studying 1960s civil rights protests with particular attention to how nonviolent and violent actions by activists & police influence media, elites, public opinion & voters.

Lucy D’Agostino McGowan

LucyStats

It can be very challenging to assess what information to believe. One simple way to evaluate evidence is via something called "Hill's Criteria", considerations to help assess whether an

Anna Stansbury

annastansbury

Thought of the day: Every member of the Harvard community should be ashamed by the fact that we openly practice affirmative action for rich white people in college admissions.(Thread based

Alexander Lanoszka

ALanoszka

Good thread, but for me the interesting question is not whether arms races lead to war (too many problems with reverse causation), but how they shape state's choices over armaments